Safina party presidential candidate Jimmy Wanjigi.
By Ndung’u Wainaina
The Kenya’s old political power establishment is dying.
A historic tide is turning. This is not transition. It is momentous political rupture. A historic moment of the country.
Many are missing to see a fundamental structural power architecture shift unfolding in plain sight.
What is rising is a completely new power architecture that no old political establishment has yet fully reckoned with. The old order primacy is been displaced. There are new power poles emerging of a new order.
The Gen Z economic revolution of June 2024 was the turning point of what was slowly showing signs. This was the moment the old order broke.
The manner of new order emergence is as consequential as its content. This is a consequential constitutional economic order emerging. It has new players. It is not the old regional and ethnic anchored order.
The Mount Kenya construct not geography significant power shift is central determinant of this new order. Demographics weight, financial capabilities and complete reconfiguring of traditional politics into issue based politics are other key factors at play.
Traditional politics and actors are not only reduced to bystanders facing a monumental scale of marginalisation as future is being negotiated. They are being vanquished.
Old order patronage system is being fundamentally altered. The system is being quietly superseded. This is more profound displacement than defeat in battle. Old system is not an architect. It is casualty.
What is emerging is not a successor pax. It is something rarer and more durable: a new political and economic order. A fundamentally different economic, security, technological, infrastructural and political system for the 21st century modernized Kenya state.
Murang’a construct, traditionally seen as economic and financial giant but politically diplomatic, is emerging most consequential anchor of this new order. From tyranny of financial muscle to defining next political power matrix.
Murang’a is quietly leading a structural and new lasting political architecture with economic freedom as core foundation.
Jimi Wanjigi, Safina Party Leader and Presidential Candidate 2027, is the keystone of this entire new architecture. He is emerging as the centre of gravity and magnetic glueing together this new economic order driven political formation.
There are other voices from Murang’a who seem to reinforce Wanjigi’s economic agenda as the new politics. Young generation is also rallying behind this new order. They see hope and great future potential of their lives in it.
Murang’a has backed others. It has accumulated political capital and goodwill. This arsenal seems the inevitable pivot to serve as the instrument to steward the country into different future political path. It is the most immediate and visible proving ground, where the transition from old order to new is being tested in real time.The pivot is not being announced with fanfare.
Former President Uhuru Kenyatta and impeached Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua are facing a moment of their political reckoning. Their old model politics are over.
They find themselves in a constitutionally sanctioned situation. This is the escapable reality. Their most likely path is quiet hedging to emerging new order rather than dramatic realignment. But the window for comfortable hedging is narrowing. The longer they remain identified with a receding old order, the less leverage they will carry when they eventually seek terms with the new order that is rising.
President William Ruto has completely been cancelled by Kenyans. He has lost domestic legitimacy. Every time he opens his mouth, he is shouted back as pathological liar. Mr. Ruto has no platform. The best he has is negotiate his exit rather than face political humiliation at the ballot. He should be reading the tide. Otherwise by the time it is fully visible to him, it will already be irreversible.
Kenya is simply in a situation on how history works when the tide turns. This is not only generational shift. It is fundamental structural change. People who bet on the old order now face a reckoning whose full dimensions are only beginning to become visible.
History rewards those who read the tide correctly. The tide has turned. Only those who moves with it survive. Those who insists on standing still as the water rises perish. The biblical Noah’s Ark gives vital lessons. The political rupture is waiting for no one. The floods will sweep old order to dustbin of history. It is inevitable rupture not transition.
The writer is Independent Policy Analyst
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