By MKT Reporter
A new opinion poll by Trends and Insights For Africa (TIFA) has placed President William Ruto ahead in the race for the 2027 General Election even as public support for the broad-based government continues to decline.
According to the survey, President Ruto enjoys 24 percent support in the presidential contest, followed closely by Kalonzo Musyoka at 19 percent.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i ranked third with 14 percent, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna came fourth with 10 percent.
The findings come amid growing political realignments and increasing opposition activity as the country edges closer to the 2027 elections.
The poll also indicates a significant drop in support for the broad-based government arrangement between President Ruto and opposition leader Raila Odinga.
Support for the arrangement fell from 44 percent in November 2025 to 30 percent in May 2026, while those identifying with the opposition rose to 56 percent.
Analysts say the decline could reflect growing public concerns over the high cost of living, taxation, unemployment, and dissatisfaction with the pace of economic recovery despite government assurances that reforms are beginning to bear fruit.
In party popularity rankings, Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) emerged as the most popular political party with 18 percent support, narrowly ahead of United Democratic Alliance (UDA) at 17 percent. Democratic Congress Party (DCP) ranked third with 16 percent, underlining the shifting political landscape.
The survey further revealed growing influence for Senator Edwin Sifuna’s Linda Mwananchi Movement, which reportedly enjoys 73 percent grassroots support among ODM supporters, compared to 23 percent for the Linda Ground Movement associated with Oburu Odinga.
Within the Kenya Kwanza camp, Deputy President Kithure Kindiki remains the most preferred running mate for President Ruto heading into 2027, attracting 59 percent support. Gladys Wanga followed at 12 percent, while Oburu Odinga and Mining Cabinet Secretary Hassan Joho registered 3 percent and 1 percent respectively.
The poll also identified a possible Kalonzo Musyoka–Edwin Sifuna alliance as one of the most preferred opposition tickets ahead of the next General Election, signaling a potential shift in opposition politics should the two leaders formalize cooperation.
The latest findings are expected to intensify political activity across the country, with both government and opposition camps likely to recalibrate their strategies as early campaigns and coalition-building efforts gather momentum.
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